I offer data science consulting, with a focus on healthcare and Star Ratings.
Terrain: Medicare Advantage Stars by county, weighted by MY25 enrollment (2027 ratings). Grey counties have no rated enrollment.
01 / Consulting
Fourteen years of data science and consulting experience, focused on your next challenge.
I help organizations turn complex data into practical answers. Whether you need to forecast outcomes, evaluate a strategy, build a statistical model, or make sense of an unfamiliar dataset, I bring hands-on analytical support shaped around your question.
What you receive An agreed set of deliverables—such as an analysis, reproducible code, or a working tool—with clear explanations of the findings and limitations.
Discuss a projectCOMING SOON
02 / Forecasts
Plan for where the cutpoints could land—and how much they could move.
Built from battle scars and statistical expertise, these measure-level forecasts help your team prepare for upcoming Star Ratings cycles, with uncertainty ranges that make the risks visible. Explore potential changes before setting targets or committing resources.
What you receive 2027 and 2028 cutpoint forecasts, uncertainty ranges, and clear explanations of the assumptions and planning implications.
Current-state cutpoint estimates for display measures also support policy analysis and comment development.
PDP options and tiered pricing for smaller plans, provider groups, and industry analysts are available. Seeking pilot partners.
Discuss cutpoint forecastsCOMING SOON
03 / Goal-setting
Turn your quality ambitions into data-driven measure-level targets.
Bring together current performance, expected cutpoints, and your team’s priorities to define goals and focus improvement efforts.
Combine cutpoint uncertainty with realistic measure changes to find the least risky path to better star ratings.
What you receive Recommended performance targets, the gaps to close, and a clear rationale for prioritizing measures.
Discuss your quality goalsI’m Joe Dean, founder of Starscape Analytics.
I've spent years honing my craft as a data scientist and statistician, consulting for providers and payers, and driving forecasting for multiple Medicare Advantage contracts over multi-year spans.
Insights
Perspectives on measurement, forecasting, and the analytical questions behind health plan performance. Random posts about completely unrelated topics will also happen.
Explore insightsLooking for project support, cutpoint forecasts, or help setting quality goals? Tell me what your team is working toward.
[email protected]Independent consulting · Project-based and ongoing support